SC Villa 5-0 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.46/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.03
+39% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
1W-2D-0L
AWAY UPDF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.05.2024 UPDF UPDF 0-2 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
06.02.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
08.01.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
5-0
AWAY UPDF
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa ran out comfortable winners over UPDF 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, SC Villa had 52% of the ball to UPDF's 48%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SC Villa had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SC Villa and 0.00 for UPDF.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs UPDF?

SC Villa 5-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 52%, draw 27%, UPDF 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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