UPDF 0-2 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 11 May 2024

UPDF
0-2 HT 0-1
SC Villa
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

UPDF vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.27
No
67%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-7.1pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UPDF v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.49/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-57% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

UPDF vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
0W-2D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
06.02.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
08.01.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
POST-MATCH UPDF vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa beat UPDF 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UPDF and 0.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of UPDF vs SC Villa?

UPDF 0-2 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UPDF 24%, draw 29%, SC Villa 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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