Kitara 3-2 Busoga United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Kitara
3-2 HT 1-2
Busoga United
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

Kitara vs Busoga United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.67
No
59%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
33%
+7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
67%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kitara v Busoga United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Busoga United EU Bookmakers 12%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/2.61
-50% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -29%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Busoga United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara nicked a narrow win over Busoga United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Busoga United?

Kitara 3-2 Busoga United in the Uganda - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Busoga United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kitara 59%, draw 25%, Busoga United 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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11 May 2024
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