Amorebieta 3-0 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 22%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.92
+28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
3-0
AWAY Alfaro
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta cruised past Alfaro 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amorebieta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Amorebieta had 57% of the ball to Alfaro's 43%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Alfaro?

Amorebieta 3-0 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 56%, draw 24%, Alfaro 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amorebieta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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