UD Ourense 2-1 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ourense
2-1
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UD Ourense vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense squeezed past RC Deportivo Fabril 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was RC Deportivo Fabril at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Ourense had 50% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 50%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of UD Ourense vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

UD Ourense 2-1 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ourense vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UD Ourense 28%, draw 28%, RC Deportivo Fabril 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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