Erzgebirge Aue 4-3 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.85
2-3
46%
1.86
4-5
24%
3.27
6+
6%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.81
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
11%
7.1
X/X
15%
5.19
2/1
3%
23.1
2/2
15%
4.99
2/X
5%
13.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzgebirge Aue The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
1.19 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 2.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
300 Passes 270
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
01.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
06.03.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
24.09.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
04.04.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
06.12.2020 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-2 HT 0-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
4 - 3
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 7
272 Passes 220
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Erzgebirge Aue vs Jahn Regensburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Erzgebirge Aue found just enough to beat Jahn Regensburg 4-3. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (57%) landed.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 53% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 47%, shots finished 18-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.17 for Jahn Regensburg.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Jahn Regensburg Result & Final Score

Erzgebirge Aue 4 - 3 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 47%, draw 25%, Jahn Regensburg 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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