Jahn Regensburg 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Jahn Regensburg
0-0 HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.46
2-3 Goals
48%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
14%
7.32
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.33
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.48/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.71
-6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.12 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
256 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
06.03.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
24.09.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
04.04.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
06.12.2020 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-2 HT 0-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
28.06.2020 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2

Jahn Regensburg 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-0
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg and Erzgebirge Aue played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 51% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 49%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Jahn Regensburg 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 43%, draw 23%, Erzgebirge Aue 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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