Dynamo Dresden 2-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Dynamo Dresden
2-2 HT 1-2
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
20%
3.98
X/2
9%
11.2
X/X
8%
6.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.8
2/2
6%
8.02
2/X
9%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dynamo Dresden v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
2.20/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.63
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
08.04.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
15.10.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
01.04.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
27.10.2004 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2

Dynamo Dresden 2-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-2
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
58% Ball Possession 42%
32 Total Shots 5
15 Shots on Target 4
17 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden and Rot-Weiss Essen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Dynamo Dresden carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 58% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 42%, shots finished 32-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.40 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Dynamo Dresden 2-2 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 56%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Essen 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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