Verl 0-1 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.06
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.84
X/2
7%
6.52
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
4.65
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -20%
1.69/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.37
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
1W-1D-4L
AWAY 1860 München
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
19.02.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-3 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
13.08.2022 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
04.03.2022 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 2-0 Verl Verl AL3
25.09.2021 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
10.04.2021 1860 München 1860 München 3-2 HT 2-1 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
0-1
AWAY 1860 München
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Verl vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München squeezed past Verl 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Verl had 62% of the ball to 1860 München's 38%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Verl and 1.33 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Verl vs 1860 München?

Verl 0-1 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Verl 42%, draw 30%, 1860 München 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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