Unterhaching 3-4 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Unterhaching
3-4 HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund II
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.82
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
11%
6.96
X/X
15%
4.92
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
12%
4.87
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Unterhaching v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.53/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.27
-3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.2 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 HT 2-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
12.04.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
04.10.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
25.01.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
09.08.2013 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 4-2 HT 3-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
09.03.2013 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3

Unterhaching 3-4 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
3-4
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II nicked a narrow win over Unterhaching 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Borussia Dortmund II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 46% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 54%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Unterhaching and 1.67 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Unterhaching 3-4 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unterhaching win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 40%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund II 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Unterhaching) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unterhaching) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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