Ulm 1846 0-0 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
15%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.06
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.98
X/2
8%
6.5
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 34%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
2.17/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.57
+38% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-0 HT 2-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
0-0
AWAY Ingolstadt
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 and Ingolstadt played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ulm 1846 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 50% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 50%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Ingolstadt?

Ulm 1846 0-0 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 46%, draw 25%, Ingolstadt 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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