Eilenburg 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
62%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.6pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.5pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 61%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.94/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.09
-20% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
180 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.07.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
08.03.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg and Rot-Weiss Erfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Eilenburg and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Eilenburg 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 20%, draw 18%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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