Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.74
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eilenburg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-2
AWAY Eilenburg
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Eilenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had 58% of the ball to Eilenburg's 42%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Eilenburg?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 49%, draw 26%, Eilenburg 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
8 Mar 2024
21:00 Hansa Rostock II vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
21:00 Bayern München II vs Vilzing Analysis →
21:00 Hertha Berlin II vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
21:00 Augsburg II vs Memmingen Analysis →
21:00 Buchbach vs Türkgücü München Analysis →
21:30 Velbert vs Düren Merzenich Analysis →