Hertha Berlin II 0-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.7pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.95/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.81
-32% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 5-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-1 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
0-1
AWAY Greifswalder SV
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV nicked a narrow win over Hertha Berlin II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 58% of the ball to Greifswalder SV's 42%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 2.67 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Greifswalder SV?

Hertha Berlin II 0-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 30%, draw 24%, Greifswalder SV 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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