Buchbach 1-0 Türkgücü München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.13/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.41
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Türkgücü München
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 2-2 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Türkgücü München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach squeezed past Türkgücü München 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buchbach as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Türkgücü München led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buchbach and 1.50 for Türkgücü München.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Türkgücü München?

Buchbach 1-0 Türkgücü München in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Türkgücü München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 49%, draw 25%, Türkgücü München 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buchbach), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buchbach) ✓ BTTS No
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