Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Nov 2025

Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2-2 HT 1-1
Mainz 05 II
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
2.04/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.53
+20% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.12.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 0-0 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach ALMBÖL
29.08.2021 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-3 HT 0-3 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
19.12.2020 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
15.04.2017 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-1 HT 2-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II AL3
05.11.2016 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 0-1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach AL3
13.02.2016 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-3 HT 0-2 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II AL3
POST-MATCH Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Mainz 05 II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sonnenhof Grossaspach at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 1.50 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Mainz 05 II?

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sonnenhof Grossaspach win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sonnenhof Grossaspach 46%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 II 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sonnenhof Grossaspach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sonnenhof Grossaspach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
1 Nov 2025
00:00 Mönchengladbach II vs Bochum II Analysis →
15:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Lübeck Analysis →
16:00 Eilenburg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
16:00 FSV Zwickau vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
16:00 Altglienicke vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
16:00 Bahlinger SC vs Balingen Analysis →