SV Zulte Waregem 1-4 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Nov 2025

SV Zulte Waregem
1-4 HT 0-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

SV Zulte Waregem vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
57%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.75
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
7%
9.95
X/2
20%
4.31
X/X
11%
5.56
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.12
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.75 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SV Zulte Waregem v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.09/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.01
+7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
18.7 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

SV Zulte Waregem vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.68 xG 1.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.02.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
04.09.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
15.12.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-2 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
18.09.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
17.05.2019 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.04.2019 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL

SV Zulte Waregem 1-4 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1-4
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.65 xG 4.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
352 Passes 389
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise swept aside SV Zulte Waregem 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 48% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 52%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.65 to 4.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 2.33 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

SV Zulte Waregem 1-4 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 20%, draw 23%, Union Saint-Gilloise 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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