Anderlecht 3-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
21%
4.21
X/2
5%
11.3
X/X
7%
6.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.0
2/2
6%
8.51
2/X
7%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +14%
2.12/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.73
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.9 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.06 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
407 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.02.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
07.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-3 HT 1-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
09.10.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
3-1
AWAY Mechelen
1.77 xG 1.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
333 Passes 456
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht got the better of Mechelen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Anderlecht had 44% of the ball to Mechelen's 56%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.77 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Anderlecht and 1.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Mechelen?

Anderlecht 3-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 63%, draw 21%, Mechelen 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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