Mechelen 1-3 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Aug 2024

Mechelen
1-3 HT 1-2
Anderlecht
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Mechelen vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.31
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
9%
6.58
X/2
11%
5.11
X/X
8%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.5
2/2
20%
3.03
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.99/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.31
+34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.2 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mechelen vs Anderlecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.09 xG 2.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
403 Passes 416
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.02.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
07.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-3 HT 1-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
09.10.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.01.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.09.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 7-2 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Mechelen 1-3 Anderlecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-3
AWAY Anderlecht
2.00 xG 2.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 8
373 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht got the better of Mechelen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Anderlecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mechelen had 53% of the ball to Anderlecht's 47%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.00 to 2.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mechelen and 3.00 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Mechelen 1-3 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 37%, draw 23%, Anderlecht 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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