St. Truidense 3-3 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.95
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.67
X/2
11%
5.29
X/X
12%
4.43
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
21%
3.58
2/X
4%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.38/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dender EH
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16.02.2008 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.09.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense and Dender EH shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dender EH led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Truidense and 1.50 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Dender EH?

St. Truidense 3-3 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 37%, draw 26%, Dender EH 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ BTTS Yes
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