Middelfart 1-2 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

Middelfart
1-2 HT 0-1
Aalborg
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Middelfart vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
7%
8.66
X/2
16%
4.43
X/X
13%
5.24
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.36
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 56%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.53/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.37
-56% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
249 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
24.1 Crosses 24.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Middelfart vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Aalborg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.60 xG 1.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 464
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN1
09.11.2022 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
20.09.2017 Middelfart Middelfart 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAK

Middelfart 1-2 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-2
AWAY Aalborg
2.32 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
489 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg nicked a narrow win over Middelfart 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Middelfart had 61% of the ball to Aalborg's 39%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.32 to 0.92 — on chances, Middelfart could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Middelfart and 2.67 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Aalborg?

Middelfart 1-2 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 21%, draw 26%, Aalborg 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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