El Gounah vs Pharco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Pharco — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs Pharco Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
El Gounah
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Pharco
MSR
El Gounah 0-1 Pharco — Actual Match Statistics
Pharco edged past El Gounah 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 37% / 26%) promised a tight game; Pharco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, El Gounah had 51% of the ball to Pharco's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for El Gounah and 0.40 for Pharco.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Pharco?
El Gounah 0-1 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Pharco?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 38%, draw 37%, Pharco 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Gounah) went the other way.