El Gounah vs Pharco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Pharco — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs Pharco Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
El Gounah
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Pharco
MSR
El Gounah 1-2 Pharco — Actual Match Statistics
Pharco squeezed past El Gounah 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Pharco found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Gounah had 50% of the ball to Pharco's 50%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.50 to 2.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pharco's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Gounah and 0.00 for Pharco.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Pharco?
El Gounah 1-2 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Pharco?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 35%, draw 31%, Pharco 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.