Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 38% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.6pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.43/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.01
-3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.6 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0W-4D-2L
AWAY El Geish
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 228
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
30.06.2023 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
23.01.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
22.08.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
19.04.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
29.05.2021 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 1-2 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
2-1
AWAY El Geish
1.20 xG 1.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
239 Passes 374
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 20
4 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra nicked a narrow win over El Geish 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 41% of the ball to El Geish's 59%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 1.20 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 0.83 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Geish?

Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 43%, draw 30%, El Geish 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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