Varzim 2-1 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2025

Varzim
2-1 HT 0-1
AD Marco 09
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Varzim vs AD Marco 09 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varzim v AD Marco 09 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.85/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Varzim 2-1 AD Marco 09 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-1
AWAY AD Marco 09
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs AD Marco 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim nicked a narrow win over AD Marco 09 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Varzim had 53% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Varzim vs AD Marco 09?

Varzim 2-1 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Varzim 53%, draw 26%, AD Marco 09 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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