Sporting Braga II 1-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.98
+13% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
14.09.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
19.01.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
08.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.02.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
23.10.2022 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
1-0
AWAY Fafe
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II nicked a narrow win over Fafe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Sporting Braga II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 43% of the ball to Fafe's 57%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.50 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Fafe?

Sporting Braga II 1-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 36%, draw 26%, Fafe 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
1 Nov 2025
18:00 Varzim vs AD Marco 09 Analysis →
18:00 Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Dezembro Analysis →
18:00 Academica vs Caldas Analysis →