Sporting Braga II 2-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.32/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.46
+6% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Fafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
08.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.02.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
23.10.2022 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-0
AWAY Fafe
55% Ball Possession 45%
2 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II got the better of Fafe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Sporting Braga II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 55% of the ball to Fafe's 45%, shots finished 2-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.50 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Fafe?

Sporting Braga II 2-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 40%, draw 26%, Fafe 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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