Amarante 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 40%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.17
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-0
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante nicked a narrow win over Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Amarante made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Amarante had 51% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Amarante 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amarante 34%, draw 28%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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