Sanjoanense 1-2 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.99/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.53
+62% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Anadia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
16.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
03.12.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
20.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
12.03.2023 Anadia Anadia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
04.12.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-2
AWAY Anadia
54% Ball Possession 46%
2 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia edged past Sanjoanense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanjoanense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 54% of the ball to Anadia's 46%, shots finished 2-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.00 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Anadia?

Sanjoanense 1-2 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 41%, draw 28%, Anadia 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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