Anadia 1-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 25%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.99/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.74
-34% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +82%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
20.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
12.03.2023 Anadia Anadia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
04.12.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense edged past Anadia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Anadia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Anadia had 59% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 41%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Anadia and 1.50 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Sanjoanense?

Anadia 1-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Anadia 49%, draw 22%, Sanjoanense 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Fafe vs Vianense Analysis →
18:00 Academica vs Alverca Analysis →
18:00 Canelas 2010 vs Trofense Analysis →