Academica 0-0 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.60
-70% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Alverca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Academica Academica 2-0 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR3
12.08.2023 Alverca Alverca 1-2 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
25.02.2023 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 0-1 Alverca Alverca POR3
13.11.2022 Alverca Alverca 4-0 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR3
10.04.2004 Academica Academica 4-0 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR
07.12.2003 Alverca Alverca 2-1 HT 2-0 Academica Academica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
0-0
AWAY Alverca
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academica vs Alverca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Alverca fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Academica had 59% of the ball to Alverca's 41%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academica and 1.50 for Alverca.

What was the final score of Academica vs Alverca?

Academica 0-0 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academica 37%, draw 24%, Alverca 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alverca), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Fafe vs Vianense Analysis →
18:00 Canelas 2010 vs Trofense Analysis →
18:00 Anadia vs Sanjoanense Analysis →