Dezembro 1-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Uniao Santarem shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Dezembro had 46% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 54%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Uniao Santarem?

Dezembro 1-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 37%, draw 33%, Uniao Santarem 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dezembro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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