Freiburg II 1-1 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.97/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.68
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
02.02.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
15.03.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II and Hessen Kassel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Freiburg II carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Freiburg II and 1.00 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel?

Freiburg II 1-1 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 58%, draw 20%, Hessen Kassel 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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