Hessen Kassel 1-3 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.28/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.69
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
02.02.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
15.03.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hessen Kassel
1-3
AWAY Freiburg II
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II got the better of Hessen Kassel 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Freiburg II made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hessen Kassel had 41% of the ball to Freiburg II's 59%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.00 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II?

Hessen Kassel 1-3 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 39%, draw 24%, Freiburg II 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✗ BTTS No
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