Steinbach 0-2 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
40%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-12.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
40%
Away Win
24%
+16.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.72/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.28
-6% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
2W-1D-1L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 0-1 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 4-0 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-2 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Steinbach
0-2
AWAY SGV Freiberg
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg beat Steinbach 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) promised a tight game; SGV Freiberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Steinbach had 54% of the ball to SGV Freiberg's 46%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Steinbach had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Steinbach and 0.50 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg?

Steinbach 0-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 40%, draw 20%, SGV Freiberg 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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