Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Defensa y Justicia
2-1 HT 2-1
Godoy Cruz
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Godoy Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.88
No
63%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 36% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.16
X/2
9%
8.32
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.62
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.3pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Godoy Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.3 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Defensa y Justicia vs Godoy Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
336 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
12.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 0-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
15.07.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
20.06.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 2-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
25.07.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-2 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
08.12.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Godoy Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
2-1
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.34 xG 1.36
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
164 Passes 414
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia squeezed past Godoy Cruz 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Defensa y Justicia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 32% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 68%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.34 to 1.36 — on chances, Godoy Cruz could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.67 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Godoy Cruz?

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 45%, draw 27%, Godoy Cruz 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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