Godoy Cruz 2-0 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.94
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
9%
7.54
X/X
16%
3.83
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.38
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.4 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
254 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 0-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
15.07.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
20.06.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 2-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
25.07.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-2 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
08.12.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
02.10.2018 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
2-0
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.50 xG 0.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
241 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz got the better of Defensa y Justicia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Godoy Cruz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 50% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 50%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.50 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Godoy Cruz and 1.50 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Defensa y Justicia?

Godoy Cruz 2-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 47%, draw 29%, Defensa y Justicia 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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