Racing Club 0-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
15%
3.83
X/2
9%
8.47
X/X
14%
3.89
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
11%
7.5
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
1.46/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.37
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.5 Crosses 18.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 1.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
379 Passes 210
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
18.03.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-3 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
26.09.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
19.10.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
28.11.2020 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
0-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.79 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
322 Passes 182
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Racing Club 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club had 58% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 42%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.79 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Club and 0.67 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe?

Racing Club 0-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 47%, draw 28%, Union Santa Fe 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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