Bregenz 4-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.27
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.24
X/2
10%
6.19
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.12
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.77/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.42
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
Crosses 13.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Corners 9
02.03.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 0-2 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
12.08.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 0-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz swept aside Kapfenberger SV 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bregenz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bregenz and 1.50 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Bregenz 4-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 42%, draw 25%, Kapfenberger SV 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bregenz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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