Kapfenberger SV 1-3 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
7%
6.22
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
22%
4.65
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.65
Value flag · 2/X at 13.65 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
2.09/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.31/0.35
+32% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 75%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bregenz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.08.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 0-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1-3
AWAY Bregenz
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz saw off Kapfenberger SV 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Bregenz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 54% of the ball to Bregenz's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Bregenz?

Kapfenberger SV 1-3 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 38%, draw 28%, Bregenz 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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