FC Liefering 3-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

FC Liefering
3-1 HT 2-1
St. Pölten
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

FC Liefering vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
8%
6.4
X/2
9%
5.05
X/X
15%
5.15
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.05
2/X
5%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Liefering v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.96
+36% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
313 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 63%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.7 Crosses 10.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

FC Liefering vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
3W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 198
68% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
17.03.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.09.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
20.02.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
30.07.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
22.04.2016 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2

FC Liefering 3-1 St. Pölten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Liefering
3-1
AWAY St. Pölten
2.25 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
217 Passes 322
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering saw off St. Pölten 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Liefering had 43% of the ball to St. Pölten's 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.25 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Liefering and 1.33 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs St. Pölten?

FC Liefering 3-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 32%, draw 26%, St. Pölten 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pölten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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