Independiente Petrolero 0-2 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.19
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
226 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.3 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0W-1D-3L
AWAY The Strongest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.84 xG 2.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
186 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 5-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
18.07.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.02.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-4 HT 0-3 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
13.09.2021 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0-2
AWAY The Strongest
1.80 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
181 Passes 303
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest saw off Independiente Petrolero 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; The Strongest found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 42% of the ball to The Strongest's 58%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.98 — on chances, Independiente Petrolero could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 3.00 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

Independiente Petrolero 0-2 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 34%, draw 27%, The Strongest 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ BTTS Yes
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