Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.6pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.94/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.70
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
226 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
03.11.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
16.07.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
19.03.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv squeezed past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 46% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 54%, shots finished 2-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 28%, draw 26%, Botev Plovdiv 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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