Vendsyssel FF 2-0 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.23
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
10%
5.3
X/2
14%
6.3
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.11
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Vendsyssel FF win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.55
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.6 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Esbjerg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 332
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-1 HT 1-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
15.05.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-2 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
17.04.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
06.03.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
27.07.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
13.02.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
2-0
AWAY Esbjerg
1.71 xG 1.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
225 Passes 388
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF got the better of Esbjerg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Vendsyssel FF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 41% of the ball to Esbjerg's 59%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.71 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.00 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Esbjerg?

Vendsyssel FF 2-0 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 38%, draw 27%, Esbjerg 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✗ Over 2.5
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