Esbjerg 3-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

Esbjerg
3-1 HT 1-1
Vendsyssel FF
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 27% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.22
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.4
X/2
10%
6.06
X/X
12%
5.51
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
18%
3.77
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Vendsyssel FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.71
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
20.7 Crosses 21.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-2 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
17.04.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
06.03.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
27.07.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
13.02.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
09.12.2020 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-2 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg got the better of Vendsyssel FF 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Esbjerg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esbjerg and 0.83 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF?

Esbjerg 3-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 38%, draw 28%, Vendsyssel FF 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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