Hobro IK 1-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

Hobro IK
1-1 HT 0-0
Hvidovre
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hobro IK vs Hvidovre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.89
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
6%
6.03
X/2
18%
5.29
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1
12%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.24
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v Hvidovre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +31%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.24
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +72%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
23.1 Crosses 21.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Hobro IK vs Hvidovre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hvidovre
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.34 xG 2.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 455
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-2 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
01.09.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 6-0 HT 3-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
19.11.2021 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
30.08.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
27.05.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 4-0 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
24.04.2021 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1

Hobro IK 1-1 Hvidovre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
1-1
AWAY Hvidovre
0.84 xG 0.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 409
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK and Hvidovre shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hvidovre at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Hobro IK had 45% of the ball to Hvidovre's 55%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hobro IK and 2.67 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Hvidovre?

Hobro IK 1-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 35%, draw 25%, Hvidovre 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hvidovre), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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