Golden Arrows 3-2 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.0pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
0.94/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.16
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -35%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.3 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cape Town City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.74 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 393
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
26.11.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 HT 0-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
21.10.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-1 HT 1-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAF8K
03.05.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
04.10.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-1 HT 0-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
20.02.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
3-2
AWAY Cape Town City
2.02 xG 1.20
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
112 Passes 381
57% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows squeezed past Cape Town City 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Golden Arrows found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 28% of the ball to Cape Town City's 72%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.02 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cape Town City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Golden Arrows and 0.83 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Cape Town City?

Golden Arrows 3-2 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 33%, draw 28%, Cape Town City 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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