Orlando Pirates 0-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 38% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.59/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.16
+26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.3 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 0.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 1-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
29.12.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-3 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
24.09.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
03.09.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
05.08.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
22.01.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 4-1 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
0-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.84 xG 0.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
497 Passes 188
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC squeezed past Orlando Pirates 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 69% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 31%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.33 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC?

Orlando Pirates 0-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 46%, draw 28%, Stellenbosch FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orlando Pirates) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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