Barry Town 1-2 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒21:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.56
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.58
6+ Goals
10%
5.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.8pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 71%
+64% / +64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.40
+150% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +94%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
14.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
21.10.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-6 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
26.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-2 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
11.12.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
18.09.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints nicked a narrow win over Barry Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barry Town and 3.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs The New Saints?

Barry Town 1-2 The New Saints in the Wales - League Cup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 21%, draw 26%, The New Saints 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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