The New Saints 4-0 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.46
Over 2.5
68%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.37
2-3 Goals
37%
2.32
4-5 Goals
33%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
4.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-15.0pp
17%
Draw
8%
+8.9pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
25%
+6.7pp
68%
Over 2.5
75%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
3.56/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.22
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-6 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
26.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-2 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
11.12.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
18.09.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
08.05.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
13.04.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-6 HT 0-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
4-0
AWAY Barry Town
69% Ball Possession 31%
32 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Barry Town 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

On the day, The New Saints had 69% of the ball to Barry Town's 31%, shots finished 32-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for The New Saints and 1.00 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Barry Town?

The New Saints 4-0 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 70%, draw 17%, Barry Town 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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